Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1117.340176 1266.208373 1431.016867 1627.607583 1856.505381 2115.535326 2432.161034
2025-09-21 862.085695 1052.148151 1281.727465 1581.886245 1967.522031 2451.142255 3111.162236
2025-09-28 715.773615 915.626484 1170.901684 1525.333540 2011.754684 2666.350292 3631.950769
2025-10-05 652.766258 868.787306 1158.132306 1581.283438 2196.677516 3078.803259 4475.940780
2025-10-12 594.877417 818.221601 1129.487329 1605.182553 2332.362873 3433.862020 5292.594226
2025-10-19 544.764764 770.899937 1097.118537 1615.352429 2443.553496 3762.233909 6121.020118
2025-10-26 502.758910 729.705251 1067.369714 1622.927874 2547.649224 4089.747741 7004.032891
2025-11-02 475.990036 707.819089 1063.166598 1668.097481 2716.094892 4546.165286 8202.339058
2025-11-09 449.751782 683.657177 1052.027115 1699.076474 2862.437537 4983.793134 9452.659145
2025-11-16 424.721740 658.713400 1036.500294 1719.630545 2991.275233 5406.998635 10761.784389
2025-11-23 402.287258 635.726375 1021.507603 1738.478353 3118.041346 5844.228340 12195.461302
2025-11-30 384.359437 618.489808 1014.253681 1769.737333 3271.615917 6358.446315 13920.515559
2025-12-07 353.707342 577.640737 963.240812 1715.767531 3252.924860 6518.265221 14867.156737
2025-12-14 326.548098 540.815499 916.328202 1664.836592 3234.326155 6677.107009 15858.129757
2025-12-21 300.945063 504.738532 867.617605 1604.963976 3188.459396 6766.206427 16688.775813
2025-12-28 293.716251 500.999484 878.054707 1664.342754 3408.818473 7513.766410 19537.538141
2026-01-04 282.665124 489.329418 872.377872 1689.718153 3556.540204 8113.337426 22144.467774
2026-01-11 270.759575 475.122653 860.506833 1700.517047 3671.870194 8652.924635 24740.397155
2026-01-18 259.481073 461.245784 848.053539 1708.561532 3781.662762 9199.275657 27542.082579
2026-01-25 253.222761 456.531215 853.424477 1756.535724 3996.757299 10077.176077 31802.333548
2026-02-01 245.793210 448.951942 852.255515 1789.445911 4178.753748 10900.739291 36192.889165
2026-02-08 237.773366 439.611393 846.618077 1811.284705 4335.237639 11683.696328 40753.895318
2026-02-15 230.095933 430.417106 840.514643 1831.312947 4490.112881 12497.192812 45799.348408